0000
Theme
Dark theme
OverNil
  • Home
  • Team
  • Decisions
    • Transfers
    • Captain
    • Bench
    • Chips
    • Planner
    • Route
    • Decision rooms
    • Deadline
  • Live
    • Rivals
    • Win chances
  • Explore
    • Players
    • Projections
    • Line-ups
    • Fixtures
    • Stats
    • Scorers
    • Gameweek
    • Set and forget
    • Rising players
    • News
    • Prices
    • Price changes
MenuHow it works
  • Home
  • Team
  • Decisions
  • Live
  • Explore
GW6000d 00h1d 11hto deadline
Connect team
MenuAccount
PlayersProjectionsLine-upsFixturesStatsScorersGameweekSet and forgetRising playersNewsPricesPrice changes
0000
AccountPlansHomeTerms of usePrivacyDisclaimer

A paid plan is changed or cancelled from your account.

Designed and built byStudio Javanainen

Explore · Players

Diakité

‹ All players

Defender for Bournemouth, £4.9m.

BOUDEF

DefenderBournemouth

Bafodé Diakité

£4.9mFit

Nothing on record ranks him yet. The projection below uses players of the same position and price.

xPts next

1.1

His projected score in the next gameweek.

xPts window

6.3

5 fixtures in GW6–10.

xMins

34

39% to start, 33% to reach 60 minutes.

Ownership

0.2%

Effective ownership adds captaincy share, which FPL does not publish.

Form

0.0

Zero until a gameweek is played.

Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8. Rates from 1275 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 81% own record / 19% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

What this projection could see

The player table shows no minutes for him, but his record has 1 played season in it. FPL files a season under the club it was played at.

What kind of asset he is

Ranked among defenders with 450+ minutes on record.

No minutes are published for him, so every per-90 rate would be a division by zero dressed up as a statistic. The projection above uses his position and price instead.

The schedule ahead

Next 5 gameweeks

The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.

  • CHE A4
  • SUN H3
  • MUN A4
  • LEE H3
  • IPS A2
  1. GW6at CHE (difficulty 4 of 5)1.1
  2. GW7vs SUN (difficulty 3 of 5)1.4
  3. GW8at MUN (difficulty 4 of 5)1.1
  4. GW9vs LEE (difficulty 3 of 5)1.4
  5. GW10at IPS (difficulty 2 of 5)1.3

Derived · basis: fixtures in the window: counted from fixtures[] over GW6-GW10: 5 gameweeks, 5 fixtures · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: high

His job at the clubRole, set pieces and availabilityThe parts of a player’s job FPL publishes directly.OpenClose▸

Set-piece duty

FPL lists him in no set-piece order. That is published, not missing.

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[62].penalties_order, FPL's published penalty order · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: high

Availability

FPL flags him as fit and has published no note against him.

No chance-of-playing percentage is published, which for a fit player is normal.

Predicted lineups are not modelled here. FPL publishes none, and a guessed eleven could not be checked.

What the slot costsPrice, ownership and the marketWhat the slot costs, who already holds him, and what has moved.OpenClose▸

Price

£4.9m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[62].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: high

Since the season opened

-0.1m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[62].cost_change_start, movement from this season's opening price · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: high

Owned

0.2%

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[62].selected_by_percent, share of all FPL squads · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: high

Price history within a season is not published as a series, only the net movement from the opening price.

Effective ownership needs captaincy share too, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.

Career recordSeason by seasonFetched from this player's own record, 1 season of it.OpenClose▸

  1. 2025/26

    46 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    1275 min
    Starts
    15
    xG
    0.02
    xA
    0.19
    xGC
    22.47
    DefCon
    117
    Bonus
    2
    BPS
    164
Inside the projectionHow the projection was builtEvery component of the number in the hero, and the distribution around it.OpenClose▸

Points, by where they come from

  • appearance+0.90

    P(start) 0.39 x [P(60+|start) 0.84 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.18 x 1pt

  • cleanSheet+0.26

    P(60+) 0.33 x P(0 conceded) 0.20 (xGC90 1.55 x fixture 1.25) x 4pt

  • goalsConceded-0.24

    P(start) 0.39 x E[floor(conceded/2)] at lambda 1.62 over 75 mins + P(cameo) 0.18 x E[floor(conceded/2)] at lambda 0.48 over 22 mins x -1pt (xGC90 1.55 x fixture 1.25)

  • defensiveContribution+0.15

    P(>=10 defensive actions) 0.19 at 8.6/90 x P(start) 0.39 x 2pt

  • bonus+0.05

    bonus90 0.16 x sqrt(fixture) 0.89 x 0.37 of a match

  • cards-0.03

    yellow90 0.09, red90 0.000 x 0.37 of a match

  • goals+0.03

    xG90 0.02 x fixture 0.80 x 0.37 of a match x 6pt

  • assists+0.02

    xA90 0.02 x fixture 0.80 x 0.37 of a match x 3pt

Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8. Rates from 1275 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 81% own record / 19% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The spread around it

Ceiling (90th)

3.0

Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW6 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8. Rates from 1275 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 81% own record / 19% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Floor (10th)

0.0

Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW6 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8. Rates from 1275 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 81% own record / 19% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 10+

0%

Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW6 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8. Rates from 1275 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 81% own record / 19% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 2 or fewer

87%

Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW6 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8. Rates from 1275 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 81% own record / 19% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The minutes model

Starts

39%

Projection · basis: P(start): history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8 · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Reaches 60 minutes

33%

Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8 · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Off the bench

18%

Projection · basis: P(cameo): history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8 · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Does not appear

43%

Projection · basis: P(unused): history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8 · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 1275min); status=a (available); age 25.8

What this model does not include

  • manager rotation policy
  • European/cup fixture congestion
  • press conference quotes
  • predicted lineups
  • training-ground reports

Read before trusting the number

  • ASSUMPTION: the full appearance award needs 60 minutes and a clean sheet needs 60. FPL publishes neither boundary anywhere in its own data; both are read off FPL's rules page.
  • ASSUMPTION: the deduction applies per 2 goals conceded. FPL publishes the points per block but never how many goals make a block, so what it publishes cannot tell "-1 per goal" from "-1 per 2 goals".
  • ASSUMPTION: a defensive-contribution point needs DEF>=10, MID>=12, FWD>=12 defensive actions. FPL publishes what the point is worth but never how many actions earn it, so this number is read off FPL's rules page, not FPL data.

What FPL itself projects for GW6

FPL’s ep_next

0.0

Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[62].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated 46 sec ago · confidence: high

Shown beside xPts, not instead of it. FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal in preseason, so agreement in order is mild evidence.

What this is built from

Built from FPL’s own published season data for 2026/27, using a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season. Everything else is the stated default.

Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits, or set him beside others to compare.

Add Diakité to my squadCompare him with others