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Explore · Players

Roefs

‹ All players

Goalkeeper for Sunderland, £4.9m.

SUNGKP

GoalkeeperSunderland

Robin Roefs

£4.9mFit

Nothing on record ranks him yet. The projection below uses players of the same position and price.

xPts next

3.4

His projected score in the next gameweek.

xPts window

16.6

5 fixtures in GW6–10.

xMins

83

92% to start, 89% to reach 60 minutes.

Ownership

2.4%

Effective ownership adds captaincy share, which FPL does not publish.

Form

1.0

FPL’s own recent-form average.

Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 H v BHA (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7. Rates from 3150 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% GKP/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=14, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

What this projection could see

Projected from his full record: 1 played season. The same record every screen reads, so this figure matches the ranked list, the pitch and a comparison.

What kind of asset he is

Ranked among goalkeepers with 450+ minutes on record.

Defensive solidity

1.73 xGC per 90

Not ranked: only 16 goalkeepers clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

Where defenders and keepers make most of their points.

Shot-stopping volume

1.20 saves per 90

Not ranked: only 16 goalkeepers clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

Save points banked on weeks no clean sheet arrives.

Starting security

13% of team games started

Not ranked: only 16 goalkeepers clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

Minutes decide an FPL asset more than ability does.

Bonus pull

8.2 BPS per 90

Not ranked: only 16 goalkeepers clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

The BPS table decides bonus points, and this is it.

Value

2.2 points per £m

Not ranked: only 16 goalkeepers clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

What decides whether a player earns his squad slot.

The schedule ahead

Next 5 gameweeks

The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.

  • BHA H3
  • BOU A3
  • LEE H3
  • COV A2
  • CHE H4
  1. GW6vs BHA (difficulty 3 of 5)3.4
  2. GW7at BOU (difficulty 3 of 5)3.2
  3. GW8vs LEE (difficulty 3 of 5)3.4
  4. GW9at COV (difficulty 2 of 5)3.4
  5. GW10vs CHE (difficulty 4 of 5)3.2

Derived · basis: fixtures in the window: counted from fixtures[] over GW6-GW10: 5 gameweeks, 5 fixtures · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

His job at the clubRole, set pieces and availabilityThe parts of a player’s job FPL publishes directly.OpenClose▸

Set-piece duty

FPL lists him in no set-piece order. That is published, not missing.

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[529].penalties_order, FPL's published penalty order · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

Availability

FPL flags him as fit and has published no note against him.

No chance-of-playing percentage is published, which for a fit player is normal.

Predicted lineups are not modelled here. FPL publishes none, and a guessed eleven could not be checked.

What the slot costsPrice, ownership and the marketWhat the slot costs, who already holds him, and what has moved.OpenClose▸

Price

£4.9m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[529].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

Since the season opened

-0.1m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[529].cost_change_start, movement from this season's opening price · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

Owned

2.4%

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[529].selected_by_percent, share of all FPL squads · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

Price history within a season is not published as a series, only the net movement from the opening price.

Effective ownership needs captaincy share too, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.

Career recordSeason by seasonFetched from this player's own record, 1 season of it.OpenClose▸

  1. 2025/26

    136 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    3150 min
    Starts
    35
    xG
    0.00
    xA
    0.10
    xGC
    50.05
    DefCon
    0
    Bonus
    12
    BPS
    573
Inside the projectionHow the projection was builtEvery component of the number in the hero, and the distribution around it.OpenClose▸

Points, by where they come from

  • appearance+1.89

    P(start) 0.92 x [P(60+|start) 0.96 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.08 x 1pt

  • cleanSheet+0.96

    P(60+) 0.89 x P(0 conceded) 0.27 (xGC90 1.43 x fixture 0.93) x 4pt

  • saves+0.57

    P(start) 0.92 x E[floor(saves/3)] at lambda 2.84 + P(cameo) 0.08 x E[floor(saves/3)] at lambda 0.71 x 1pt (saves90 3.12 x fixture 0.93)

  • goalsConceded-0.39

    P(start) 0.92 x E[floor(conceded/2)] at lambda 1.31 over 88 mins + P(cameo) 0.08 x E[floor(conceded/2)] at lambda 0.33 over 22 mins x -1pt (xGC90 1.43 x fixture 0.93)

  • bonus+0.33

    bonus90 0.34 x sqrt(fixture) 1.04 x 0.92 of a match

  • misc+0.12

    own goals, penalties missed and penalties saved, from history_past rates

  • cards-0.10

    yellow90 0.11, red90 0.000 x 0.92 of a match

  • assists+0.01

    xA90 0.00 x fixture 1.08 x 0.92 of a match x 3pt

Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 H v BHA (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7. Rates from 3150 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% GKP/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=14, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The spread around it

Ceiling (90th)

7.0

Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW6 H v BHA (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7. Rates from 3150 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% GKP/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=14, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Floor (10th)

1.0

Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW6 H v BHA (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7. Rates from 3150 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% GKP/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=14, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 10+

1%

Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW6 H v BHA (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7. Rates from 3150 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% GKP/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=14, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 2 or fewer

48%

Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW6 H v BHA (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7. Rates from 3150 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% GKP/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=14, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The minutes model

Starts

92%

Projection · basis: P(start): history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7 · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Reaches 60 minutes

89%

Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7 · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Off the bench

8%

Projection · basis: P(cameo): history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7 · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Does not appear

0%

Projection · basis: P(unused): history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7 · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 3150min); status=a (available); age 23.7

What this model does not include

  • manager rotation policy
  • European/cup fixture congestion
  • press conference quotes
  • predicted lineups
  • training-ground reports

Read before trusting the number

  • ASSUMPTION: the full appearance award needs 60 minutes and a clean sheet needs 60. FPL publishes neither boundary anywhere in its own data; both are read off FPL's rules page.
  • ASSUMPTION: the deduction applies per 2 goals conceded. FPL publishes the points per block but never how many goals make a block, so what it publishes cannot tell "-1 per goal" from "-1 per 2 goals".
  • ASSUMPTION: a save point is awarded per 3 saves. FPL publishes the points per block but never how many saves make a block.

What FPL itself projects for GW6

FPL’s ep_next

1.0

Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[529].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

Shown beside xPts, not instead of it. FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal in preseason, so agreement in order is mild evidence.

What this is built from

Built from FPL’s own published season data for 2026/27, using a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season. Everything else is the stated default.

Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits, or set him beside others to compare.

Add Roefs to my squadCompare him with others