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Explore · Players

Alysson

‹ All players

Midfielder for Aston Villa, £4.9m.

AVLMID

MidfielderAston Villa

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos

£4.9mFit100% chance of playing

Nothing on record ranks him yet. The projection below uses players of the same position and price.

xPts next

0.1

His projected score in the next gameweek.

xPts window

0.3

5 fixtures in GW8–12.

xMins

1

0% to start, 0% to reach 60 minutes.

Ownership

0.0%

Effective ownership adds captaincy share, which FPL does not publish.

Form

0.5

FPL’s own recent-form average.

Projection · basis: xPts: GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5. Rates from 47 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 16% own record / 84% MID/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=135, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

What this projection could see

Projected from his full record: 1 played season. The same record every screen reads, so this figure matches the ranked list, the pitch and a comparison.

What kind of asset he is

Ranked among midfielders with 450+ minutes on record.

Goal threat

0.04 xG per 90

Not ranked: 136 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.

The biggest single scoring event, and the part that repeats.

Chance creation

0.01 xA per 90

Not ranked: 136 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.

The second scoring route, and it survives a missed chance.

Attacking involvement

0.05 xGI per 90

Not ranked: 136 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.

The single best summary of a team’s attacking play.

Defensive work

8.6 defensive actions per 90

Not ranked: 136 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.

Two repeatable points that do not need a clean sheet.

Starting security

3% of team games started

Not ranked: 136 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.

Minutes decide an FPL asset more than ability does.

Bonus pull

29.1 BPS per 90

Not ranked: 136 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.

The BPS table decides bonus points, and this is it.

Value

1.8 points per £m

Not ranked: 136 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.

What decides whether a player earns his squad slot.

The schedule ahead

Next 5 gameweeks

The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.

  • MCI H4
  • FUL H2
  • MUN A4
  • SUN H3
  • IPS A2
  1. GW8vs MCI (difficulty 4 of 5)0.1
  2. GW9vs FUL (difficulty 2 of 5)0.1
  3. GW10at MUN (difficulty 4 of 5)0.1
  4. GW11vs SUN (difficulty 3 of 5)0.1
  5. GW12at IPS (difficulty 2 of 5)0.1

Derived · basis: fixtures in the window: counted from fixtures[] over GW8-GW12: 5 gameweeks, 5 fixtures · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: high

His job at the clubRole, set pieces and availabilityThe parts of a player’s job FPL publishes directly.OpenClose▸

Set-piece duty

  • Corners and indirectthird in line

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[52].penalties_order, FPL's published penalty order · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: high

Availability

FPL flags him as fit and has published no note against him.

100%FPL's own figure

Predicted lineups are not modelled here. FPL publishes none, and a guessed eleven could not be checked.

What the slot costsPrice, ownership and the marketWhat the slot costs, who already holds him, and what has moved.OpenClose▸

Price

£4.9m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[52].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: high

Since the season opened

-0.1m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[52].cost_change_start, movement from this season's opening price · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: high

Owned

0.0%

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[52].selected_by_percent, share of all FPL squads · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: high

Price history within a season is not published as a series, only the net movement from the opening price.

Effective ownership needs captaincy share too, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.

Career recordSeason by seasonFetched from this player's own record, 1 season of it.OpenClose▸

  1. 2025/26

    3 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    47 min
    Starts
    0
    xG
    0.05
    xA
    0.05
    xGC
    1.87
    DefCon
    4
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    11
Inside the projectionHow the projection was builtEvery component of the number in the hero, and the distribution around it.OpenClose▸

Points, by where they come from

  • appearance+0.06

    P(start) 0.00 x [P(60+|start) 0.01 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.06 x 1pt

  • goals+0.01

    xG90 0.11 x fixture 0.93 x 0.01 of a match x 5pt

  • assists+0.00

    xA90 0.10 x fixture 0.93 x 0.01 of a match x 3pt

  • cards-0.00

    yellow90 0.18, red90 0.012 x 0.01 of a match

  • bonus+0.00

    bonus90 0.15 x sqrt(fixture) 0.96 x 0.01 of a match

Projection · basis: xPts: GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5. Rates from 47 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 16% own record / 84% MID/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=135, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The spread around it

Ceiling (90th)

0.0

Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5. Rates from 47 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 16% own record / 84% MID/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=135, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Floor (10th)

0.0

Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5. Rates from 47 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 16% own record / 84% MID/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=135, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 10+

0%

Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5. Rates from 47 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 16% own record / 84% MID/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=135, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 2 or fewer

100%

Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5. Rates from 47 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 16% own record / 84% MID/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=135, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The minutes model

Starts

0%

Projection · basis: P(start): history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5 · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Reaches 60 minutes

0%

Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5 · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Off the bench

6%

Projection · basis: P(cameo): history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5 · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Does not appear

94%

Projection · basis: P(unused): history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5 · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

history_past 2025/26 (w1.00, 47min); chance_of_playing_next_round=100%; age 20.5

What this model does not include

  • manager rotation policy
  • European/cup fixture congestion
  • press conference quotes
  • predicted lineups
  • training-ground reports

Read before trusting the number

  • Only 47 weighted minutes of history support these per-90 rates, under one full match. They are shrunk 84% onto the MID/4.6-5.5m cohort mean, closer to a cohort average than a measurement of this player.
  • ASSUMPTION: the full appearance award needs 60 minutes and a clean sheet needs 60. FPL publishes neither boundary anywhere in its own data; both are read off FPL's rules page.
  • ASSUMPTION: a defensive-contribution point needs DEF>=10, MID>=12, FWD>=12 defensive actions. FPL publishes what the point is worth but never how many actions earn it, so this number is read off FPL's rules page, not FPL data.
  • 84% of this xPts figure rests on the MID/4.6-5.5m cohort, not on this player's own 47 weighted minutes. How far to lean on the cohort follows from how much a rate carries between seasons.

What FPL itself projects for GW8

FPL’s ep_next

0.5

Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[52].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated 18 sec ago · confidence: high

Shown beside xPts, not instead of it. FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal in preseason, so agreement in order is mild evidence.

What this is built from

Built from FPL’s own published season data for 2026/27, using a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season. Everything else is the stated default.

Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits, or set him beside others to compare.

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