0000
Theme
Dark theme
OverNil
  • Home
  • Team
  • Decisions
    • Transfers
    • Captain
    • Bench
    • Chips
    • Planner
    • Route
    • Decision rooms
    • Deadline
  • Live
    • Rivals
    • Win chances
  • Explore
    • Players
    • Projections
    • Line-ups
    • Fixtures
    • Stats
    • Scorers
    • Gameweek
    • Set and forget
    • Rising players
    • News
    • Prices
    • Price changes
MenuHow it works
  • Home
  • Team
  • Decisions
  • Live
  • Explore
GW8000d 00h1d 01hto deadline
Connect team
MenuAccount
PlayersProjectionsLine-upsFixturesStatsScorersGameweekSet and forgetRising playersNewsPricesPrice changes
0000
AccountPlansHomeTerms of usePrivacyDisclaimer

A paid plan is changed or cancelled from your account.

Designed and built byStudio Javanainen

Explore · Players

Austin

‹ All players

Goalkeeper for Spurs, £4.0m.

TOTGKP

GoalkeeperSpurs

Brandon Austin

£4.0mFit

Nothing on record ranks him yet. The projection below uses players of the same position and price.

xPts next

0.1

His projected score in the next gameweek.

xPts window

0.4

5 fixtures in GW8–12.

xMins

2

3% to start, 2% to reach 60 minutes.

Ownership

1.0%

Effective ownership adds captaincy share, which FPL does not publish.

Form

0.0

Zero until a gameweek is played.

Projection · basis: xPts: GW8 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8. Rates from 90 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 18% own record / 82% GKP/<=4.5m cohort (n=9, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

What this projection could see

The player table shows no minutes for him, but his record has 1 played season in it. FPL files a season under the club it was played at.

What kind of asset he is

Ranked among goalkeepers with 450+ minutes on record.

No minutes are published for him, so every per-90 rate would be a division by zero dressed up as a statistic. The projection above uses his position and price instead.

The schedule ahead

Next 5 gameweeks

The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.

  • CHE A4
  • CRY H2
  • LEE A3
  • IPS H2
  • SUN A3
  1. GW8at CHE (difficulty 4 of 5)0.1
  2. GW9vs CRY (difficulty 2 of 5)0.1
  3. GW10at LEE (difficulty 3 of 5)0.1
  4. GW11vs IPS (difficulty 2 of 5)0.1
  5. GW12at SUN (difficulty 3 of 5)0.1

Derived · basis: fixtures in the window: counted from fixtures[] over GW8-GW12: 5 gameweeks, 5 fixtures · updated just now · confidence: high

His job at the clubRole, set pieces and availabilityThe parts of a player’s job FPL publishes directly.OpenClose▸

Set-piece duty

FPL lists him in no set-piece order. That is published, not missing.

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[495].penalties_order, FPL's published penalty order · updated just now · confidence: high

Availability

FPL flags him as fit and has published no note against him.

No chance-of-playing percentage is published, which for a fit player is normal.

Predicted lineups are not modelled here. FPL publishes none, and a guessed eleven could not be checked.

What the slot costsPrice, ownership and the marketWhat the slot costs, who already holds him, and what has moved.OpenClose▸

Price

£4.0m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[495].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated just now · confidence: high

Since the season opened

+0.0m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[495].cost_change_start, movement from this season's opening price · updated just now · confidence: high

Owned

1.0%

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[495].selected_by_percent, share of all FPL squads · updated just now · confidence: high

His price has not moved since the game opened, which is true of most players right now.

Effective ownership needs captaincy share too, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.

Career recordSeason by seasonFetched from this player's own record, 6 seasons of it.OpenClose▸

  1. 2025/26

    0 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    0 min
    Starts
    0
    xG
    0.00
    xA
    0.00
    xGC
    0.00
    DefCon
    0
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    0

  2. 2024/25

    1 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    90 min
    Starts
    1
    xG
    0.00
    xA
    0.00
    xGC
    2.53
    DefCon
    0
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    7

  3. 2023/24

    0 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    0 min
    Starts
    0
    xG
    0.00
    xA
    0.00
    xGC
    0.00
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    0

  4. 2022/23

    0 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    0 min
    Starts
    0
    xG
    0.00
    xA
    0.00
    xGC
    0.00
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    0

  5. 2021/22

    0 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    0 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    0

  6. 2019/20

    0 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    0 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    0
Inside the projectionHow the projection was builtEvery component of the number in the hero, and the distribution around it.OpenClose▸

Points, by where they come from

  • appearance+0.07

    P(start) 0.03 x [P(60+|start) 0.69 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.03 x 1pt

  • goalsConceded-0.02

    P(start) 0.03 x E[floor(conceded/2)] at lambda 1.71 over 68 mins + P(cameo) 0.03 x E[floor(conceded/2)] at lambda 0.55 over 22 mins x -1pt (xGC90 1.80 x fixture 1.25)

  • cleanSheet+0.01

    P(60+) 0.02 x P(0 conceded) 0.18 (xGC90 1.80 x fixture 1.25) x 4pt

  • saves+0.01

    P(start) 0.03 x E[floor(saves/3)] at lambda 2.33 + P(cameo) 0.03 x E[floor(saves/3)] at lambda 0.75 x 1pt (saves90 2.44 x fixture 1.25)

  • bonus+0.00

    bonus90 0.08 x sqrt(fixture) 0.89 x 0.03 of a match

  • cards-0.00

    yellow90 0.02, red90 0.000 x 0.03 of a match

  • assists+0.00

    xA90 0.00 x fixture 0.80 x 0.03 of a match x 3pt

Projection · basis: xPts: GW8 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8. Rates from 90 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 18% own record / 82% GKP/<=4.5m cohort (n=9, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The spread around it

Ceiling (90th)

0.0

Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW8 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8. Rates from 90 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 18% own record / 82% GKP/<=4.5m cohort (n=9, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Floor (10th)

0.0

Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW8 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8. Rates from 90 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 18% own record / 82% GKP/<=4.5m cohort (n=9, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 10+

0%

Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW8 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8. Rates from 90 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 18% own record / 82% GKP/<=4.5m cohort (n=9, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 2 or fewer

99%

Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW8 A v CHE (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8. Rates from 90 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 18% own record / 82% GKP/<=4.5m cohort (n=9, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The minutes model

Starts

3%

Projection · basis: P(start): history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8 · updated just now · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Reaches 60 minutes

2%

Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8 · updated just now · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Off the bench

3%

Projection · basis: P(cameo): history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8 · updated just now · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Does not appear

95%

Projection · basis: P(unused): history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8 · updated just now · confidence: low

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

history_past 2024/25 (w1.00, 90min); status=a (available); age 27.8

What this model does not include

  • manager rotation policy
  • European/cup fixture congestion
  • press conference quotes
  • predicted lineups
  • training-ground reports

Read before trusting the number

  • ASSUMPTION: the full appearance award needs 60 minutes and a clean sheet needs 60. FPL publishes neither boundary anywhere in its own data; both are read off FPL's rules page.
  • ASSUMPTION: the deduction applies per 2 goals conceded. FPL publishes the points per block but never how many goals make a block, so what it publishes cannot tell "-1 per goal" from "-1 per 2 goals".
  • ASSUMPTION: a save point is awarded per 3 saves. FPL publishes the points per block but never how many saves make a block.
  • 82% of this xPts figure rests on the GKP/<=4.5m cohort, not on this player's own 90 weighted minutes. How far to lean on the cohort follows from how much a rate carries between seasons.

What FPL itself projects for GW8

FPL’s ep_next

0.0

Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[495].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated just now · confidence: high

Shown beside xPts, not instead of it. FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal in preseason, so agreement in order is mild evidence.

What this is built from

Built from FPL’s own published season data for 2026/27, using a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season. Everything else is the stated default.

Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits, or set him beside others to compare.

Add Austin to my squadCompare him with others