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Explore · Players

Bailey

‹ All players

Midfielder for Aston Villa, £5.4m.

AVLMID

MidfielderAston Villa

Leon Bailey

£5.4mUnavailable0% chance of playing

FPL saysHas joined Olympiakos permanently

Nothing on record ranks him yet. The projection below uses players of the same position and price.

xPts next

0.0

His projected score in the next gameweek.

xPts window

0.0

5 fixtures in GW8–12.

xMins

0

0% to start, 0% to reach 60 minutes.

Ownership

0.0%

Effective ownership adds captaincy share, which FPL does not publish.

Form

0.0

Zero until a gameweek is played.

Projection · basis: xPts: GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2. Rates from 862 weighted minutes of history_past. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

What this projection could see

The player table shows no minutes for him, but his record has 5 played seasons in it. FPL files a season under the club it was played at.

What kind of asset he is

Ranked among midfielders with 450+ minutes on record.

No minutes are published for him, so every per-90 rate would be a division by zero dressed up as a statistic. The projection above uses his position and price instead.

The schedule ahead

Next 5 gameweeks

The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.

  • MCI H4
  • FUL H2
  • MUN A4
  • SUN H3
  • IPS A2
  1. GW8vs MCI (difficulty 4 of 5)0.0
  2. GW9vs FUL (difficulty 2 of 5)0.0
  3. GW10at MUN (difficulty 4 of 5)0.0
  4. GW11vs SUN (difficulty 3 of 5)0.0
  5. GW12at IPS (difficulty 2 of 5)0.0

Derived · basis: fixtures in the window: counted from fixtures[] over GW8-GW12: 5 gameweeks, 5 fixtures · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: high

His job at the clubRole, set pieces and availabilityThe parts of a player’s job FPL publishes directly.OpenClose▸

Set-piece duty

FPL lists him in no set-piece order. That is published, not missing.

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[44].penalties_order, FPL's published penalty order · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: high

Availability

Has joined Olympiakos permanently

0%FPL's own figure

Predicted lineups are not modelled here. FPL publishes none, and a guessed eleven could not be checked.

What the slot costsPrice, ownership and the marketWhat the slot costs, who already holds him, and what has moved.OpenClose▸

Price

£5.4m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[44].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: high

Since the season opened

-0.1m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[44].cost_change_start, movement from this season's opening price · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: high

Owned

0.0%

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[44].selected_by_percent, share of all FPL squads · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: high

Price history within a season is not published as a series, only the net movement from the opening price.

Effective ownership needs captaincy share too, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.

Career recordSeason by seasonFetched from this player's own record, 5 seasons of it.OpenClose▸

  1. 2025/26

    21 pts · 0 goals · 2 assists

    450 min
    Starts
    3
    xG
    0.50
    xA
    1.46
    xGC
    7.03
    DefCon
    48
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    69

  2. 2024/25

    47 pts · 1 goals · 2 assists

    1132 min
    Starts
    14
    xG
    1.73
    xA
    2.92
    xGC
    13.91
    DefCon
    77
    Bonus
    2
    BPS
    174

  3. 2023/24

    148 pts · 10 goals · 11 assists

    2063 min
    Starts
    22
    xG
    6.29
    xA
    7.17
    xGC
    36.17
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    11
    BPS
    482

  4. 2022/23

    100 pts · 4 goals · 5 assists

    1964 min
    Starts
    26
    xG
    5.34
    xA
    4.77
    xGC
    35.15
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    6
    BPS
    242

  5. 2021/22

    37 pts · 1 goals · 3 assists

    750 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    1
    BPS
    98
Inside the projectionHow the projection was builtEvery component of the number in the hero, and the distribution around it.OpenClose▸

Points, by where they come from

  • appearance+0.00

    P(start) 0.00 x [P(60+|start) 0.78 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.00 x 1pt

Projection · basis: xPts: GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2. Rates from 862 weighted minutes of history_past. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The spread around it

Ceiling (90th)

0.0

Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2. Rates from 862 weighted minutes of history_past. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Floor (10th)

0.0

Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2. Rates from 862 weighted minutes of history_past. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 10+

0%

Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2. Rates from 862 weighted minutes of history_past. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 2 or fewer

100%

Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW8 H v MCI (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2. Rates from 862 weighted minutes of history_past. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The minutes model

Starts

0%

Projection · basis: P(start): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2 · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Reaches 60 minutes

0%

Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2 · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Off the bench

0%

Projection · basis: P(cameo): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2 · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Does not appear

100%

Projection · basis: P(unused): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2 · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 450min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1132min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2063min); chance_of_playing_next_round=0%; age 29.2

What this model does not include

  • manager rotation policy
  • European/cup fixture congestion
  • press conference quotes
  • predicted lineups
  • training-ground reports

Read before trusting the number

  • Availability: chance_of_playing_next_round=0%.
  • FPL news: Has joined Olympiakos permanently
  • ASSUMPTION: the full appearance award needs 60 minutes and a clean sheet needs 60. FPL publishes neither boundary anywhere in its own data; both are read off FPL's rules page.
  • ASSUMPTION: a defensive-contribution point needs DEF>=10, MID>=12, FWD>=12 defensive actions. FPL publishes what the point is worth but never how many actions earn it, so this number is read off FPL's rules page, not FPL data.

What FPL itself projects for GW8

FPL’s ep_next

0.0

Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[44].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated 22 sec ago · confidence: high

Shown beside xPts, not instead of it. FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal in preseason, so agreement in order is mild evidence.

What this is built from

Built from FPL’s own published season data for 2026/27, using a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season. Everything else is the stated default.

Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits, or set him beside others to compare.

Add Bailey to my squadCompare him with others