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Explore · Players

Martinez

‹ All players

Defender for Man Utd, £4.9m.

MUNDEF

DefenderMan Utd

Lisandro Martínez

£4.9mDoubt75% chance of playing

FPL saysThigh injury - 75% chance of playing

Modest goal threat, 0.04 xG per 90, 38 of 62 defenders · 450+ minutes in 2026/27.

xPts next

1.1

His projected score in the next gameweek.

xPts window

5.0

5 fixtures in GW8–12.

xMins

25

28% to start, 23% to reach 60 minutes.

Ownership

1.2%

Effective ownership adds captaincy share, which FPL does not publish.

Form

2.0

FPL’s own recent-form average.

Projection · basis: xPts: GW8 H v BOU (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8. Rates from 1272 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 78% own record / 22% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=63, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

What this projection could see

Projected from his full record: 4 played seasons. The same record every screen reads, so this figure matches the ranked list, the pitch and a comparison.

What kind of asset he is

Ranked among defenders with 450+ minutes on record.

Modest goal threat

0.04 xG per 90

38 of 62 defenders · 450+ minutes in 2026/27

The biggest single scoring event, and the part that repeats.

Modest chance creation

0.03 xA per 90

37 of 62 defenders · 450+ minutes in 2026/27

The second scoring route, and it survives a missed chance.

Modest attacking involvement

0.07 xGI per 90

40 of 62 defenders · 450+ minutes in 2026/27

The single best summary of a team’s attacking play.

Low defensive work

6.0 defensive actions per 90

49 of 62 defenders · 450+ minutes in 2026/27

Two repeatable points that do not need a clean sheet.

Useful defensive solidity

1.39 xGC per 90

Top 33% of 62 defenders · 450+ minutes in 2026/27

Where defenders and keepers make most of their points.

Low starting security

16% of team games started

39 of 62 defenders · 450+ minutes in 2026/27

Minutes decide an FPL asset more than ability does.

Low bonus pull

7.3 BPS per 90

54 of 62 defenders · 450+ minutes in 2026/27

The BPS table decides bonus points, and this is it.

Low value

2.0 points per £m

62 of 62 defenders · 450+ minutes in 2026/27

What decides whether a player earns his squad slot.

The schedule ahead

Next 5 gameweeks

The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.

  • BOU H3
  • CHE A4
  • AVL H3
  • LIV A4
  • BRE H3
  1. GW8vs BOU (difficulty 3 of 5)1.1
  2. GW9at CHE (difficulty 4 of 5)0.9
  3. GW10vs AVL (difficulty 3 of 5)1.1
  4. GW11at LIV (difficulty 4 of 5)0.9
  5. GW12vs BRE (difficulty 3 of 5)1.1

Derived · basis: fixtures in the window: counted from fixtures[] over GW8-GW12: 5 gameweeks, 5 fixtures · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: high

His job at the clubRole, set pieces and availabilityThe parts of a player’s job FPL publishes directly.OpenClose▸

Set-piece duty

FPL lists him in no set-piece order. That is published, not missing.

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[419].penalties_order, FPL's published penalty order · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: high

Availability

Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing

75%FPL's own figure

Predicted lineups are not modelled here. FPL publishes none, and a guessed eleven could not be checked.

What the slot costsPrice, ownership and the marketWhat the slot costs, who already holds him, and what has moved.OpenClose▸

Price

£4.9m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[419].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: high

Since the season opened

-0.1m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[419].cost_change_start, movement from this season's opening price · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: high

Owned

1.2%

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[419].selected_by_percent, share of all FPL squads · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: high

Price history within a season is not published as a series, only the net movement from the opening price.

Effective ownership needs captaincy share too, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.

Career recordSeason by seasonFetched from this player's own record, 4 seasons of it.OpenClose▸

  1. 2025/26

    51 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    1229 min
    Starts
    13
    xG
    0.15
    xA
    0.60
    xGC
    15.22
    DefCon
    105
    Bonus
    3
    BPS
    241

  2. 2024/25

    68 pts · 2 goals · 1 assists

    1751 min
    Starts
    20
    xG
    1.33
    xA
    1.21
    xGC
    30.17
    DefCon
    134
    Bonus
    5
    BPS
    293

  3. 2023/24

    15 pts · 0 goals · 1 assists

    643 min
    Starts
    8
    xG
    0.00
    xA
    0.08
    xGC
    11.65
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    134

  4. 2022/23

    81 pts · 1 goals · 0 assists

    2113 min
    Starts
    24
    xG
    0.46
    xA
    1.02
    xGC
    32.52
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    6
    BPS
    481
Inside the projectionHow the projection was builtEvery component of the number in the hero, and the distribution around it.OpenClose▸

Points, by where they come from

  • appearance+0.70

    P(start) 0.28 x [P(60+|start) 0.83 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.20 x 1pt

  • cleanSheet+0.33

    P(60+) 0.23 x P(0 conceded) 0.36 (xGC90 1.33 x fixture 0.93) x 4pt

  • goalsConceded-0.09

    P(start) 0.28 x E[floor(conceded/2)] at lambda 1.03 over 75 mins + P(cameo) 0.20 x E[floor(conceded/2)] at lambda 0.30 over 22 mins x -1pt (xGC90 1.33 x fixture 0.93)

  • cards-0.07

    yellow90 0.16, red90 0.035 x 0.28 of a match

  • goals+0.07

    xG90 0.04 x fixture 1.08 x 0.28 of a match x 6pt

  • bonus+0.06

    bonus90 0.21 x sqrt(fixture) 1.04 x 0.28 of a match

  • defensiveContribution+0.06

    P(>=10 defensive actions) 0.10 at 7.6/90 x P(start) 0.28 x 2pt

  • assists+0.04

    xA90 0.05 x fixture 1.08 x 0.28 of a match x 3pt

  • misc-0.02

    own goals, penalties missed and penalties saved, from history_past rates

Projection · basis: xPts: GW8 H v BOU (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8. Rates from 1272 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 78% own record / 22% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=63, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The spread around it

Ceiling (90th)

4.0

Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW8 H v BOU (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8. Rates from 1272 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 78% own record / 22% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=63, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Floor (10th)

0.0

Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW8 H v BOU (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8. Rates from 1272 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 78% own record / 22% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=63, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 10+

0%

Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW8 H v BOU (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8. Rates from 1272 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 78% own record / 22% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=63, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 2 or fewer

88%

Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW8 H v BOU (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8. Rates from 1272 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 78% own record / 22% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=63, fitted on a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The minutes model

Starts

28%

Projection · basis: P(start): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8 · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Reaches 60 minutes

23%

Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8 · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Off the bench

20%

Projection · basis: P(cameo): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8 · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Does not appear

53%

Projection · basis: P(unused): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8 · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1229min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1751min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 643min); chance_of_playing_next_round=75%; age 28.8

What this model does not include

  • manager rotation policy
  • European/cup fixture congestion
  • press conference quotes
  • predicted lineups
  • training-ground reports

Read before trusting the number

  • Availability: chance_of_playing_next_round=75%.
  • FPL news: Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
  • ASSUMPTION: the full appearance award needs 60 minutes and a clean sheet needs 60. FPL publishes neither boundary anywhere in its own data; both are read off FPL's rules page.
  • ASSUMPTION: the deduction applies per 2 goals conceded. FPL publishes the points per block but never how many goals make a block, so what it publishes cannot tell "-1 per goal" from "-1 per 2 goals".
  • ASSUMPTION: a defensive-contribution point needs DEF>=10, MID>=12, FWD>=12 defensive actions. FPL publishes what the point is worth but never how many actions earn it, so this number is read off FPL's rules page, not FPL data.

What FPL itself projects for GW8

FPL’s ep_next

1.5

Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[419].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated 14 sec ago · confidence: high

Shown beside xPts, not instead of it. FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal in preseason, so agreement in order is mild evidence.

What this is built from

Built from FPL’s own published season data for 2026/27, using a fixed population of 449 players with a completed season. Everything else is the stated default.

Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits, or set him beside others to compare.

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