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Explore · Players

Haaland

‹ All players

Forward for Man City, £15.6m.

MCIFWD

ForwardMan City

Erling Haaland

£15.6mFit

Nothing on record ranks him yet. The projection below uses players of the same position and price.

xPts next

4.7

His projected score in the next gameweek.

xPts window

26.9

5 fixtures in GW6–10.

xMins

75

86% to start, 80% to reach 60 minutes.

Ownership

73.9%

Effective ownership adds captaincy share, which FPL does not publish.

Form

7.5

FPL’s own recent-form average.

Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 A v LIV (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2. Rates from 2839 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 94% own record / 6% FWD cohort (n=50, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

What this projection could see

Projected from his full record: 4 played seasons. The same record every screen reads, so this figure matches the ranked list, the pitch and a comparison.

What kind of asset he is

Ranked among forwards with 450+ minutes on record.

Goal threat

0.88 xG per 90

Not ranked: only 1 forwards clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

The biggest single scoring event, and the part that repeats.

Chance creation

0.11 xA per 90

Not ranked: only 1 forwards clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

The second scoring route, and it survives a missed chance.

Attacking involvement

0.99 xGI per 90

Not ranked: only 1 forwards clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

The single best summary of a team’s attacking play.

Defensive work

4.0 defensive actions per 90

Not ranked: only 1 forwards clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

Two repeatable points that do not need a clean sheet.

Starting security

13% of team games started

Not ranked: only 1 forwards clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

Minutes decide an FPL asset more than ability does.

Bonus pull

33.4 BPS per 90

Not ranked: only 1 forwards clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

The BPS table decides bonus points, and this is it.

Value

2.5 points per £m

Not ranked: only 1 forwards clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

What decides whether a player earns his squad slot.

The schedule ahead

Next 5 gameweeks

The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.

  • LIV A4
  • IPS H2
  • AVL A3
  • BHA H3
  • NFO A3
  1. GW6at LIV (difficulty 4 of 5)4.7
  2. GW7vs IPS (difficulty 2 of 5)6.1
  3. GW8at AVL (difficulty 3 of 5)5.2
  4. GW9vs BHA (difficulty 3 of 5)5.6
  5. GW10at NFO (difficulty 3 of 5)5.2

Derived · basis: fixtures in the window: counted from fixtures[] over GW6-GW10: 5 gameweeks, 5 fixtures · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

His job at the clubRole, set pieces and availabilityThe parts of a player’s job FPL publishes directly.OpenClose▸

Set-piece duty

  • Penaltiesfirst choice

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[411].penalties_order, FPL's published penalty order · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

Availability

FPL flags him as fit and has published no note against him.

No chance-of-playing percentage is published, which for a fit player is normal.

Predicted lineups are not modelled here. FPL publishes none, and a guessed eleven could not be checked.

What the slot costsPrice, ownership and the marketWhat the slot costs, who already holds him, and what has moved.OpenClose▸

Price

£15.6m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[411].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

Since the season opened

+0.1m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[411].cost_change_start, movement from this season's opening price · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

Owned

73.9%

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[411].selected_by_percent, share of all FPL squads · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

Price history within a season is not published as a series, only the net movement from the opening price.

Effective ownership needs captaincy share too, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.

Career recordSeason by seasonFetched from this player's own record, 4 seasons of it.OpenClose▸

  1. 2025/26

    239 pts · 27 goals · 8 assists

    2953 min
    Starts
    34
    xG
    25.50
    xA
    2.67
    xGC
    38.60
    DefCon
    104
    Bonus
    43
    BPS
    952

  2. 2024/25

    181 pts · 22 goals · 3 assists

    2736 min
    Starts
    31
    xG
    21.90
    xA
    2.04
    xGC
    41.27
    DefCon
    73
    Bonus
    26
    BPS
    795

  3. 2023/24

    217 pts · 27 goals · 8 assists

    2553 min
    Starts
    29
    xG
    29.57
    xA
    2.18
    xGC
    25.65
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    29
    BPS
    792

  4. 2022/23

    272 pts · 36 goals · 9 assists

    2767 min
    Starts
    33
    xG
    28.54
    xA
    3.11
    xGC
    25.24
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    40
    BPS
    1040
Inside the projectionHow the projection was builtEvery component of the number in the hero, and the distribution around it.OpenClose▸

Points, by where they come from

  • goals+2.06

    xG90 0.78 x fixture 0.80 x 0.83 of a match x 4pt

  • appearance+1.80

    P(start) 0.86 x [P(60+|start) 0.94 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.14 x 1pt

  • bonus+0.83

    bonus90 1.12 x sqrt(fixture) 0.89 x 0.83 of a match

  • assists+0.15

    xA90 0.08 x fixture 0.80 x 0.83 of a match x 3pt

  • cards-0.06

    yellow90 0.07, red90 0.001 x 0.83 of a match

  • misc-0.05

    own goals, penalties missed and penalties saved, from history_past rates

  • defensiveContribution+0.00

    P(>=12 defensive actions) 0.00 at 3.2/90 x P(start) 0.86 x 2pt

Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 A v LIV (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2. Rates from 2839 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 94% own record / 6% FWD cohort (n=50, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The spread around it

Ceiling (90th)

10.0

Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW6 A v LIV (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2. Rates from 2839 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 94% own record / 6% FWD cohort (n=50, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Floor (10th)

1.0

Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW6 A v LIV (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2. Rates from 2839 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 94% own record / 6% FWD cohort (n=50, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 10+

10%

Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW6 A v LIV (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2. Rates from 2839 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 94% own record / 6% FWD cohort (n=50, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 2 or fewer

31%

Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW6 A v LIV (FDR 4). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2. Rates from 2839 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 94% own record / 6% FWD cohort (n=50, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The minutes model

Starts

86%

Projection · basis: P(start): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2 · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Reaches 60 minutes

80%

Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2 · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Off the bench

14%

Projection · basis: P(cameo): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2 · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Does not appear

0%

Projection · basis: P(unused): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2 · updated 2 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2953min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 2736min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 2553min); status=a (available); age 26.2

What this model does not include

  • manager rotation policy
  • European/cup fixture congestion
  • press conference quotes
  • predicted lineups
  • training-ground reports

Read before trusting the number

  • ASSUMPTION: the full appearance award needs 60 minutes and a clean sheet needs 60. FPL publishes neither boundary anywhere in its own data; both are read off FPL's rules page.
  • ASSUMPTION: a defensive-contribution point needs DEF>=10, MID>=12, FWD>=12 defensive actions. FPL publishes what the point is worth but never how many actions earn it, so this number is read off FPL's rules page, not FPL data.
  • Listed first-choice penalty taker. NOT added on top of xG: history_past xG already contains any penalties they took, and there is no public way to tell whether they were the taker then.

What FPL itself projects for GW6

FPL’s ep_next

7.5

Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[411].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated 2 min ago · confidence: high

Shown beside xPts, not instead of it. FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal in preseason, so agreement in order is mild evidence.

What this is built from

Built from FPL’s own published season data for 2026/27, using a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season. Everything else is the stated default.

Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits, or set him beside others to compare.

Add Haaland to my squadCompare him with others