Reading the gameweek calendar, the player list and the fixture schedule from the FPL API.
Reading the gameweek calendar, the player list and the fixture schedule from the FPL API.
Reading the gameweek calendar, the player list and the fixture schedule from the FPL API.
Reading the player list from the FPL API and projecting every player for the coming gameweeks.
Explore · Players
Forward for Ipswich Town, £5.5m.
ForwardIpswich Town
Emersonn Correia da Silva
Nothing on record ranks this player yet. The projection below is built from players of the same position and price, and its confidence is low.
xPts GW2
What this product expects him to score in the next gameweek.
Projection · basis: xPts: GW2 A v MUN (FDR 4); fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.05) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason; minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available); rates from the FWD/4.6-5.5m cohort mean (n=15, fitted on a fixed population of 279 players with a completed season, independent of which individual records this screen fetched), no record of his own; scoring from RuleSet.scoreFor supplied by this product’s rule engine; unpublished numbers from this product’s own assumption table, shared with the rule engine · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
xPts GW2–6
5 fixtures in the window.
Projection · basis: total xPts: over GW2-GW6: 5 gameweeks, 5 fixtures (derived from fixtures[]) · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Expected minutes
Start probability 1%, and 0% to reach the 60-minute appearance point.
Projection · basis: xMins for one fixture: no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available) · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Owned
Effective ownership would add captaincy share on top. FPL publishes no captaincy figure, so this is ownership alone and is labelled as such.
Official · basis: share of all FPL squads owning this player: bootstrap-static/elements[316].selected_by_percent · updated 6 min ago · confidence: high
What this projection could see
FPL holds no completed season for this player — no minutes, no expected goals, nothing. The projection below is a price-and-position cohort prior, which is a guess with a method, and its confidence says so.
Strengths, measured
Each block names a quality, the figure that earned it, and where that sits among forwards with 450+ minutes on record.
Goal threat
1.14 xG per 90
Not ranked: 65 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
A goal is the largest single scoring event an outfield player can produce, and expected goals is the part of scoring that repeats.
Chance creation
0.08 xA per 90
Not ranked: 65 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
Assists are the second scoring route, and expected assists survives a team-mate missing an open goal where an assist count does not.
Attacking involvement
1.22 xGI per 90
Not ranked: 65 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
Goals and assists combined: the single best summary of how much of a team’s attack runs through a player.
Defensive work
4.2 defensive actions per 90
Not ranked: 65 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
Defensive contribution is a repeatable two points that does not need the team to keep a clean sheet.
Starting security
3% of team games started
Not ranked: 65 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
The gap between a good footballer and a good FPL asset is usually minutes, not ability.
Bonus pull
56.8 BPS per 90
Not ranked: 65 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
Bonus points are decided by the BPS table, so a player who scores it heavily converts the same football into more FPL points.
Value
1.6 points per £m
Not ranked: 65 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
Every tenth spent here is a tenth unavailable elsewhere, so points per million is what decides whether a player earns his slot in the squad.
The schedule ahead
The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.
Set-piece duty
Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[316].penalties_order — FPL's published penalty order · updated 6 min ago · confidence: high
Availability
FPL flags him as fit and has published no note against him.
No chance-of-playing percentage is published, which for a fit player is normal.
Predicted lineups are not modelled here. Nothing in the public API publishes them, and a guessed eleven would be the one number on this page nobody could check.
Price
£5.5m
Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[316].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated 6 min ago · confidence: high
Since the season opened
+0.0m
Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[316].cost_change_start — movement from this season's opening price · updated 6 min ago · confidence: high
Owned
0.8%
Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[316].selected_by_percent — share of all FPL squads · updated 6 min ago · confidence: high
His price has not moved since the game opened, which is true of nearly every player right now. There is no price history to draw, and drawing a flat line would suggest there was something to see.
Effective ownership — what actually decides how much rank a return is worth — needs captaincy share, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.
FPL holds no completed season for this player. That is a real answer, not a missing one — there is nothing behind him to measure, which is exactly why the projection above carries low confidence.
Points, by where they come from
P(start) 0.01 x [P(60+|start) 0.08 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.01 x 1pt
xG90 0.34 x fixture 0.80 x 0.01 of a match x 4pt
bonus90 0.70 x sqrt(fixture) 0.89 x 0.01 of a match
xA90 0.17 x fixture 0.80 x 0.01 of a match x 3pt
P(>=12 defensive actions) 0.00 at 5.4/90 x P(start) 0.01 x 2pt
Projection · basis: xPts: GW2 A v MUN (FDR 4); fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.05) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason; minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available); rates from the FWD/4.6-5.5m cohort mean (n=15, fitted on a fixed population of 279 players with a completed season, independent of which individual records this screen fetched), no record of his own; scoring from RuleSet.scoreFor supplied by this product’s rule engine; unpublished numbers from this product’s own assumption table, shared with the rule engine · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
The spread around it
Ceiling (90th)
0.0
Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW2 A v MUN (FDR 4); fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.05) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason; minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available); rates from the FWD/4.6-5.5m cohort mean (n=15, fitted on a fixed population of 279 players with a completed season, independent of which individual records this screen fetched), no record of his own; scoring from RuleSet.scoreFor supplied by this product’s rule engine; unpublished numbers from this product’s own assumption table, shared with the rule engine · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Floor (10th)
0.0
Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW2 A v MUN (FDR 4); fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.05) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason; minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available); rates from the FWD/4.6-5.5m cohort mean (n=15, fitted on a fixed population of 279 players with a completed season, independent of which individual records this screen fetched), no record of his own; scoring from RuleSet.scoreFor supplied by this product’s rule engine; unpublished numbers from this product’s own assumption table, shared with the rule engine · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Chance of 10+
0%
Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW2 A v MUN (FDR 4); fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.05) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason; minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available); rates from the FWD/4.6-5.5m cohort mean (n=15, fitted on a fixed population of 279 players with a completed season, independent of which individual records this screen fetched), no record of his own; scoring from RuleSet.scoreFor supplied by this product’s rule engine; unpublished numbers from this product’s own assumption table, shared with the rule engine · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Chance of 2 or fewer
100%
Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW2 A v MUN (FDR 4); fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.05) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason; minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available); rates from the FWD/4.6-5.5m cohort mean (n=15, fitted on a fixed population of 279 players with a completed season, independent of which individual records this screen fetched), no record of his own; scoring from RuleSet.scoreFor supplied by this product’s rule engine; unpublished numbers from this product’s own assumption table, shared with the rule engine · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
The minutes model
Starts
1%
Projection · basis: P(start): no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available) · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Reaches 60 minutes
0%
Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available) · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Off the bench
1%
Projection · basis: P(cameo): no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available) · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Does not appear
97%
Projection · basis: P(unused): no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available) · updated 6 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
no FPL history - position + price prior (FWD/4.6-5.5m, n=15 players with history); status=a (available)
What this model does not include
Read before trusting the number
What FPL itself projects for GW2
FPL’s ep_next
1.8
Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[316].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated 6 min ago · confidence: high
Shown beside this product’s rather than instead of it. In preseason FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal and tops out at 4.0 for the best player in the game, so agreement in order is mild evidence and disagreement in level is expected.
The engines behind this page
Built from FPL’s own published season data — the player list, the fixture list and the points table — read together as one snapshot of the 2026/27 season and its 38 gameweeks. Points are counted with FPL’s published values rather than with a copy of them. A player's rate of scoring, assisting and keeping clean sheets is pulled toward a fixed population of 279 players with a completed season, independent of which individual records this screen fetched, so a short record is not read as confidently as a long one. Everything FPL does not publish is at this product’s own stated default.
One player in isolation is not a decision. Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits; put him beside the alternatives and the question becomes answerable.