0000
Explore · Players
Midfielder for Hull City, £4.5m.
MidfielderHull City
Regan Slater
Nothing on record ranks him yet. The projection below uses players of the same position and price.
xPts next
0.1
His projected score in the next gameweek.
xPts window
0.6
5 fixtures in GW6–10.
xMins
3
5% to start, 1% to reach 60 minutes.
Ownership
5.1%
Effective ownership adds captaincy share, which FPL does not publish.
Form
2.0
FPL’s own recent-form average.
Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 H v EVE (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available). Rates from the MID/<=4.5m cohort mean (n=8, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season), no record of his own. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 1 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
What this projection could see
FPL holds no completed season for this player, no minutes, no expected goals, nothing. The projection below is a price-and-position cohort prior, a guess with a method.
Ranked among midfielders with 450+ minutes on record.
Goal threat
0.04 xG per 90
Not ranked: 437 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
The biggest single scoring event, and the part that repeats.
Chance creation
0.12 xA per 90
Not ranked: 437 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
The second scoring route, and it survives a missed chance.
Attacking involvement
0.16 xGI per 90
Not ranked: 437 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
The single best summary of a team’s attacking play.
Defensive work
6.8 defensive actions per 90
Not ranked: 437 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
Two repeatable points that do not need a clean sheet.
Starting security
13% of team games started
Not ranked: 437 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
Minutes decide an FPL asset more than ability does.
Bonus pull
13.8 BPS per 90
Not ranked: 437 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
The BPS table decides bonus points, and this is it.
Value
3.3 points per £m
Not ranked: 437 minutes is under the 450 this comparison needs.
What decides whether a player earns his squad slot.
The schedule ahead
The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.
Set-piece duty
Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[290].penalties_order, FPL's published penalty order · updated 1 min ago · confidence: high
Availability
FPL flags him as fit and has published no note against him.
No chance-of-playing percentage is published, which for a fit player is normal.
Predicted lineups are not modelled here. FPL publishes none, and a guessed eleven could not be checked.
Price
£4.5m
Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[290].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated 1 min ago · confidence: high
Since the season opened
+0.0m
Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[290].cost_change_start, movement from this season's opening price · updated 1 min ago · confidence: high
Owned
5.1%
Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[290].selected_by_percent, share of all FPL squads · updated 1 min ago · confidence: high
His price has not moved since the game opened, which is true of most players right now.
Effective ownership needs captaincy share too, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.
FPL holds no completed season for this player, so the projection above carries low confidence.
Points, by where they come from
P(start) 0.05 x [P(60+|start) 0.11 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.03 x 1pt
xG90 0.14 x fixture 1.08 x 0.03 of a match x 5pt
xA90 0.10 x fixture 1.08 x 0.03 of a match x 3pt
yellow90 0.29, red90 0.000 x 0.03 of a match
bonus90 0.07 x sqrt(fixture) 1.04 x 0.03 of a match
P(60+) 0.01 x P(0 conceded) 0.42 (xGC90 1.82 x fixture 0.93) x 1pt
P(>=12 defensive actions) 0.00 at 7.9/90 x P(start) 0.05 x 2pt
Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 H v EVE (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available). Rates from the MID/<=4.5m cohort mean (n=8, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season), no record of his own. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 1 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
The spread around it
Ceiling (90th)
0.0
Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW6 H v EVE (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available). Rates from the MID/<=4.5m cohort mean (n=8, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season), no record of his own. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 1 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Floor (10th)
0.0
Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW6 H v EVE (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available). Rates from the MID/<=4.5m cohort mean (n=8, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season), no record of his own. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 1 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Chance of 10+
0%
Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW6 H v EVE (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available). Rates from the MID/<=4.5m cohort mean (n=8, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season), no record of his own. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 1 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Chance of 2 or fewer
99%
Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW6 H v EVE (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available). Rates from the MID/<=4.5m cohort mean (n=8, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season), no record of his own. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 1 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
The minutes model
Starts
5%
Projection · basis: P(start): no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available) · updated 1 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Reaches 60 minutes
1%
Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available) · updated 1 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Off the bench
3%
Projection · basis: P(cameo): no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available) · updated 1 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
Does not appear
92%
Projection · basis: P(unused): no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available) · updated 1 min ago · confidence: low
A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.
no FPL history - position + price prior (MID/<=4.5m, n=8 players with history); status=a (available)
What this model does not include
Read before trusting the number
What FPL itself projects for GW6
FPL’s ep_next
2.0
Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[290].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated 1 min ago · confidence: high
Shown beside xPts, not instead of it. FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal in preseason, so agreement in order is mild evidence.
What this is built from
Built from FPL’s own published season data for 2026/27, using a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season. Everything else is the stated default.
Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits, or set him beside others to compare.