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Explore · Players

Keane

‹ All players

Defender for Everton, £4.8m.

EVEDEF

DefenderEverton

Michael Keane

£4.8mFit

Nothing on record ranks him yet. The projection below uses players of the same position and price.

xPts next

2.1

His projected score in the next gameweek.

xPts window

10.0

5 fixtures in GW6–10.

xMins

44

49% to start, 44% to reach 60 minutes.

Ownership

0.7%

Effective ownership adds captaincy share, which FPL does not publish.

Form

0.0

Zero until a gameweek is played.

Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 A v HUL (FDR 2). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7. Rates from 1880 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 86% own record / 14% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 10 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

What this projection could see

The player table shows no minutes for him, but his record has 11 played seasons in it. FPL files a season under the club it was played at.

What kind of asset he is

Ranked among defenders with 450+ minutes on record.

No minutes are published for him, so every per-90 rate would be a division by zero dressed up as a statistic. The projection above uses his position and price instead.

The schedule ahead

Next 5 gameweeks

The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.

  • HUL A2
  • CHE H4
  • ARS A5
  • NEW A3
  • COV H2
  1. GW6at HUL (difficulty 2 of 5)2.1
  2. GW7vs CHE (difficulty 4 of 5)2.0
  3. GW8at ARS (difficulty 5 of 5)1.7
  4. GW9at NEW (difficulty 3 of 5)1.9
  5. GW10vs COV (difficulty 2 of 5)2.3

Derived · basis: fixtures in the window: counted from fixtures[] over GW6-GW10: 5 gameweeks, 5 fixtures · updated 10 min ago · confidence: high

His job at the clubRole, set pieces and availabilityThe parts of a player’s job FPL publishes directly.OpenClose▸

Set-piece duty

FPL lists him in no set-piece order. That is published, not missing.

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[231].penalties_order, FPL's published penalty order · updated 10 min ago · confidence: high

Availability

FPL flags him as fit and has published no note against him.

No chance-of-playing percentage is published, which for a fit player is normal.

Predicted lineups are not modelled here. FPL publishes none, and a guessed eleven could not be checked.

What the slot costsPrice, ownership and the marketWhat the slot costs, who already holds him, and what has moved.OpenClose▸

Price

£4.8m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[231].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated 10 min ago · confidence: high

Since the season opened

-0.2m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[231].cost_change_start, movement from this season's opening price · updated 10 min ago · confidence: high

Owned

0.7%

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[231].selected_by_percent, share of all FPL squads · updated 10 min ago · confidence: high

Price history within a season is not published as a series, only the net movement from the opening price.

Effective ownership needs captaincy share too, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.

Career recordSeason by seasonFetched from this player's own record, 13 seasons of it.OpenClose▸

  1. 2025/26

    131 pts · 3 goals · 1 assists

    2588 min
    Starts
    29
    xG
    2.30
    xA
    0.49
    xGC
    44.52
    DefCon
    302
    Bonus
    8
    BPS
    404

  2. 2024/25

    48 pts · 3 goals · 0 assists

    1046 min
    Starts
    11
    xG
    0.61
    xA
    0.02
    xGC
    19.16
    DefCon
    103
    Bonus
    4
    BPS
    139

  3. 2023/24

    18 pts · 1 goals · 0 assists

    437 min
    Starts
    4
    xG
    0.56
    xA
    0.06
    xGC
    10.81
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    2
    BPS
    72

  4. 2022/23

    39 pts · 1 goals · 2 assists

    983 min
    Starts
    10
    xG
    1.29
    xA
    0.83
    xGC
    23.98
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    5
    BPS
    180

  5. 2021/22

    102 pts · 3 goals · 2 assists

    2791 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    11
    BPS
    518

  6. 2020/21

    127 pts · 3 goals · 1 assists

    2989 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    13
    BPS
    649

  7. 2019/20

    90 pts · 2 goals · 0 assists

    2556 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    9
    BPS
    490

  8. 2018/19

    129 pts · 1 goals · 2 assists

    2970 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    15
    BPS
    642

  9. 2017/18

    81 pts · 0 goals · 1 assists

    2559 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    11
    BPS
    513

  10. 2016/17

    113 pts · 2 goals · 1 assists

    3150 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    10
    BPS
    619

  11. 2014/15

    40 pts · 0 goals · 1 assists

    1645 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    286

  12. 2013/14

    0 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    0 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    0

  13. 2012/13

    0 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    0 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    0
Inside the projectionHow the projection was builtEvery component of the number in the hero, and the distribution around it.OpenClose▸

Points, by where they come from

  • appearance+1.15

    P(start) 0.49 x [P(60+|start) 0.88 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.22 x 1pt

  • cleanSheet+0.51

    P(60+) 0.44 x P(0 conceded) 0.29 (xGC90 1.56 x fixture 0.91) x 4pt

  • defensiveContribution+0.31

    P(>=10 defensive actions) 0.31 at 9.5/90 x P(start) 0.49 x 2pt

  • goals+0.24

    xG90 0.08 x fixture 1.06 x 0.48 of a match x 6pt

  • goalsConceded-0.20

    P(start) 0.49 x E[floor(conceded/2)] at lambda 1.23 over 78 mins + P(cameo) 0.22 x E[floor(conceded/2)] at lambda 0.35 over 22 mins x -1pt (xGC90 1.56 x fixture 0.91)

  • bonus+0.14

    bonus90 0.28 x sqrt(fixture) 1.03 x 0.48 of a match

  • cards-0.09

    yellow90 0.11, red90 0.025 x 0.48 of a match

  • assists+0.03

    xA90 0.02 x fixture 1.06 x 0.48 of a match x 3pt

Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 A v HUL (FDR 2). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7. Rates from 1880 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 86% own record / 14% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 10 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The spread around it

Ceiling (90th)

6.0

Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW6 A v HUL (FDR 2). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7. Rates from 1880 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 86% own record / 14% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 10 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Floor (10th)

0.0

Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW6 A v HUL (FDR 2). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7. Rates from 1880 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 86% own record / 14% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 10 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 10+

2%

Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW6 A v HUL (FDR 2). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7. Rates from 1880 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 86% own record / 14% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 10 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 2 or fewer

73%

Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW6 A v HUL (FDR 2). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7. Rates from 1880 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 86% own record / 14% DEF/4.6-5.5m cohort (n=57, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated 10 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The minutes model

Starts

49%

Projection · basis: P(start): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7 · updated 10 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Reaches 60 minutes

44%

Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7 · updated 10 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Off the bench

22%

Projection · basis: P(cameo): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7 · updated 10 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Does not appear

29%

Projection · basis: P(unused): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7 · updated 10 min ago · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 2588min), 2024/25 (w0.25, 1046min), 2023/24 (w0.15, 437min); status=a (available); age 33.7

What this model does not include

  • manager rotation policy
  • European/cup fixture congestion
  • press conference quotes
  • predicted lineups
  • training-ground reports

Read before trusting the number

  • Age 33.7: minutes discounted 9%.
  • ASSUMPTION: the full appearance award needs 60 minutes and a clean sheet needs 60. FPL publishes neither boundary anywhere in its own data; both are read off FPL's rules page.
  • ASSUMPTION: the deduction applies per 2 goals conceded. FPL publishes the points per block but never how many goals make a block, so what it publishes cannot tell "-1 per goal" from "-1 per 2 goals".
  • ASSUMPTION: a defensive-contribution point needs DEF>=10, MID>=12, FWD>=12 defensive actions. FPL publishes what the point is worth but never how many actions earn it, so this number is read off FPL's rules page, not FPL data.

What FPL itself projects for GW6

FPL’s ep_next

0.0

Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[231].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated 10 min ago · confidence: high

Shown beside xPts, not instead of it. FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal in preseason, so agreement in order is mild evidence.

What this is built from

Built from FPL’s own published season data for 2026/27, using a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season. Everything else is the stated default.

Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits, or set him beside others to compare.

Add Keane to my squadCompare him with others