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Explore · Players

Groß

‹ All players

Midfielder for Brighton, £5.9m.

BHAMID

MidfielderBrighton

Pascal Groß

£5.9mFit

Nothing on record ranks him yet. The projection below uses players of the same position and price.

xPts next

2.4

His projected score in the next gameweek.

xPts window

12.2

5 fixtures in GW6–10.

xMins

50

57% to start, 52% to reach 60 minutes.

Ownership

30.9%

Effective ownership adds captaincy share, which FPL does not publish.

Form

15.5

FPL’s own recent-form average.

Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 A v SUN (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3. Rates from 2246 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% MID/5.6-7.0m cohort (n=53, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

What this projection could see

Projected from his full record: 8 played seasons. The same record every screen reads, so this figure matches the ranked list, the pitch and a comparison.

What kind of asset he is

Ranked among midfielders with 450+ minutes on record.

Goal threat

0.35 xG per 90

Not ranked: only 10 midfielders clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

The biggest single scoring event, and the part that repeats.

Chance creation

0.17 xA per 90

Not ranked: only 10 midfielders clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

The second scoring route, and it survives a missed chance.

Attacking involvement

0.53 xGI per 90

Not ranked: only 10 midfielders clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

The single best summary of a team’s attacking play.

Defensive work

5.2 defensive actions per 90

Not ranked: only 10 midfielders clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

Two repeatable points that do not need a clean sheet.

Starting security

13% of team games started

Not ranked: only 10 midfielders clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

Minutes decide an FPL asset more than ability does.

Bonus pull

33.2 BPS per 90

Not ranked: only 10 midfielders clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

The BPS table decides bonus points, and this is it.

Value

8.0 points per £m

Not ranked: only 10 midfielders clear 450+ minutes in 2026/27, too few for a percentile.

What decides whether a player earns his squad slot.

The schedule ahead

Next 5 gameweeks

The schedule the projection above is spread across. Each cell is the opponent, home or away, and how hard the match is on FPL’s one-to-five scale, where one is the easiest.

  • SUN A3
  • CRY H2
  • LIV A4
  • MCI A5
  • BRE H3
  1. GW6at SUN (difficulty 3 of 5)2.4
  2. GW7vs CRY (difficulty 2 of 5)2.7
  3. GW8at LIV (difficulty 4 of 5)2.3
  4. GW9at MCI (difficulty 5 of 5)2.2
  5. GW10vs BRE (difficulty 3 of 5)2.6

Derived · basis: fixtures in the window: counted from fixtures[] over GW6-GW10: 5 gameweeks, 5 fixtures · updated just now · confidence: high

His job at the clubRole, set pieces and availabilityThe parts of a player’s job FPL publishes directly.OpenClose▸

Set-piece duty

  • Penaltiesfirst choice
  • Direct free kicksfirst choice
  • Corners and indirectfirst choice

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[124].penalties_order, FPL's published penalty order · updated just now · confidence: high

Availability

FPL flags him as fit and has published no note against him.

No chance-of-playing percentage is published, which for a fit player is normal.

Predicted lineups are not modelled here. FPL publishes none, and a guessed eleven could not be checked.

What the slot costsPrice, ownership and the marketWhat the slot costs, who already holds him, and what has moved.OpenClose▸

Price

£5.9m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[124].now_cost, in tenths of a million · updated just now · confidence: high

Since the season opened

+0.4m

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[124].cost_change_start, movement from this season's opening price · updated just now · confidence: high

Owned

30.9%

Official · basis: bootstrap-static/elements[124].selected_by_percent, share of all FPL squads · updated just now · confidence: high

Price history within a season is not published as a series, only the net movement from the opening price.

Effective ownership needs captaincy share too, and the public API publishes none. The figure above is ownership alone.

Career recordSeason by seasonFetched from this player's own record, 9 seasons of it.OpenClose▸

  1. 2025/26

    78 pts · 1 goals · 6 assists

    1636 min
    Starts
    18
    xG
    1.39
    xA
    3.95
    xGC
    20.36
    DefCon
    145
    Bonus
    10
    BPS
    389

  2. 2024/25

    0 pts · 0 goals · 0 assists

    0 min
    Starts
    0
    xG
    0.00
    xA
    0.00
    xGC
    0.00
    DefCon
    0
    Bonus
    0
    BPS
    0

  3. 2023/24

    153 pts · 4 goals · 11 assists

    3112 min
    Starts
    34
    xG
    6.40
    xA
    8.89
    xGC
    51.16
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    29
    BPS
    724

  4. 2022/23

    159 pts · 9 goals · 8 assists

    3240 min
    Starts
    37
    xG
    5.19
    xA
    8.93
    xGC
    48.43
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    14
    BPS
    748

  5. 2021/22

    88 pts · 2 goals · 5 assists

    2033 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    7
    BPS
    405

  6. 2020/21

    116 pts · 3 goals · 8 assists

    2479 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    11
    BPS
    525

  7. 2019/20

    76 pts · 2 goals · 5 assists

    1791 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    7
    BPS
    326

  8. 2018/19

    80 pts · 3 goals · 3 assists

    1864 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    12
    BPS
    347

  9. 2017/18

    164 pts · 7 goals · 8 assists

    2928 min
    Starts
    not counted
    xG
    not counted
    xA
    not counted
    xGC
    not counted
    DefCon
    not counted
    Bonus
    24
    BPS
    635
Inside the projectionHow the projection was builtEvery component of the number in the hero, and the distribution around it.OpenClose▸

Points, by where they come from

  • appearance+1.27

    P(start) 0.57 x [P(60+|start) 0.92 -> 2pt, else 1pt] + P(cameo) 0.19 x 1pt

  • assists+0.35

    xA90 0.23 x fixture 0.93 x 0.56 of a match x 3pt

  • goals+0.35

    xG90 0.14 x fixture 0.93 x 0.56 of a match x 5pt

  • bonus+0.32

    bonus90 0.60 x sqrt(fixture) 0.96 x 0.56 of a match

  • cleanSheet+0.15

    P(60+) 0.52 x P(0 conceded) 0.28 (xGC90 1.31 x fixture 1.08) x 1pt

  • cards-0.09

    yellow90 0.15, red90 0.001 x 0.56 of a match

  • defensiveContribution+0.07

    P(>=12 defensive actions) 0.06 at 8.0/90 x P(start) 0.57 x 2pt

  • misc-0.01

    own goals, penalties missed and penalties saved, from history_past rates

Projection · basis: xPts: GW6 A v SUN (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3. Rates from 2246 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% MID/5.6-7.0m cohort (n=53, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The spread around it

Ceiling (90th)

6.0

Projection · basis: ceiling (90th percentile): GW6 A v SUN (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3. Rates from 2246 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% MID/5.6-7.0m cohort (n=53, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Floor (10th)

0.0

Projection · basis: floor (10th percentile): GW6 A v SUN (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3. Rates from 2246 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% MID/5.6-7.0m cohort (n=53, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 10+

2%

Projection · basis: P(10+ points): GW6 A v SUN (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3. Rates from 2246 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% MID/5.6-7.0m cohort (n=53, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Chance of 2 or fewer

62%

Projection · basis: P(2 or fewer points): GW6 A v SUN (FDR 3). fixture adj from fixtures[].team_*_difficulty + teams[].strength_overall_home/away (league mean quality 3.10) - strength_attack_*/strength_defence_* are 0 in preseason. Minutes from history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3. Rates from 2246 weighted minutes of history_past, blended 89% own record / 11% MID/5.6-7.0m cohort (n=53, fitted on a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season) by share of the points they earn. Scoring from the scoring rules resolved from FPL’s configuration. Unpublished numbers from one shared table of figures FPL has not published. · updated just now · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

The minutes model

Starts

57%

Projection · basis: P(start): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3 · updated just now · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Reaches 60 minutes

52%

Projection · basis: P(reaching the full appearance threshold): threshold 60 minutes, in force; history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3 · updated just now · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Off the bench

19%

Projection · basis: P(cameo): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3 · updated just now · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

Does not appear

25%

Projection · basis: P(unused): history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3 · updated just now · confidence: medium

A projection, not a result. It states the most likely outcome, and football regularly disagrees.

history_past 2025/26 (w0.60, 1636min), 2023/24 (w0.25, 3112min), 2022/23 (w0.15, 3240min); status=a (available); age 35.3

What this model does not include

  • manager rotation policy
  • European/cup fixture congestion
  • press conference quotes
  • predicted lineups
  • training-ground reports

Read before trusting the number

  • Age 35.3: minutes discounted 13%.
  • ASSUMPTION: the full appearance award needs 60 minutes and a clean sheet needs 60. FPL publishes neither boundary anywhere in its own data; both are read off FPL's rules page.
  • ASSUMPTION: a defensive-contribution point needs DEF>=10, MID>=12, FWD>=12 defensive actions. FPL publishes what the point is worth but never how many actions earn it, so this number is read off FPL's rules page, not FPL data.
  • Listed first-choice penalty taker. NOT added on top of xG: history_past xG already contains any penalties they took, and there is no public way to tell whether they were the taker then.

What FPL itself projects for GW6

FPL’s ep_next

15.5

Official · basis: FPL's own expected points for the next gameweek: bootstrap-static/elements[124].ep_next (FPL's own next-gameweek projection) · updated just now · confidence: high

Shown beside xPts, not instead of it. FPL’s figure is quantised to one decimal in preseason, so agreement in order is mild evidence.

What this is built from

Built from FPL’s own published season data for 2026/27, using a fixed population of 421 players with a completed season. Everything else is the stated default.

Put him in the squad and the rules answer whether he fits, or set him beside others to compare.

Add Groß to my squadCompare him with others